Chapter 3 Mathematical statistic Trick

3.1 Normal distribution as exponential family

Theorem: If the density function with the form: \[ f(x) \propto \exp \left\{-\frac{1}{2} x^{T} A x+B x\right\} \]

Then, we have \(X\sim N\left(\left(B A^{-1}\right)^{T}, A^{-1}\right)\)

可以配合5.2 食用更佳

3.2 密度变换公式:

设随机变量 \(X\) 有概率密度函数 \(f(x)\), \(x\in(a, b)\) (\(a, b\) 可以为 \(\infty\)), 而 \(y = g(x)\)\(x \in (a, b)\) 上是严格单调的连 续函数,存在唯一的反函数 \(x = h(y)\), \(y \in (\alpha, \beta)\) 并且 \(h′(y)\) 存在且 连续,那么 \(Y = g(X)\) 也是连续型随机变量且有概率密度函数 \[ p(y)=f(h(y))\left|h^{\prime}(y)\right|, \quad y \in(\alpha, \beta) \]

3.3 Probability mass function:

就是离散的的分布嘛,记差了还行 Probmass

3.4 Vector to diagonal matrix:

(source)[] Let \(E_i\) be the \(n\times n\) matrix with a 1 on position (i,i) and zeros else where. Similarly let \(e_i\) be a row vector with 1 on position (1,i) and zero else where, then: \[ D=\sum_{i=1}^{n} E_{i} v e_{i} \] D is the diagonal matrix with its entry is vector \(v\).

3.5 Gaussian Integral Trick

From the blog Gaussian integral Trick , there are many aspects in this blog, here is the most useful for me part: \[ \int \exp \left(-a y^{2}+x y\right) d y=\sqrt{\frac{\pi}{a}} \exp \left(\frac{1}{4 a} x^{2}\right) \]

Using this technique, we can prove the “Objective Bayesian Methods for Model Selection: Introduction and Comparison” example under difficulty 3 that vague proper prior usually gives bad answers. Vague parameters usually have strongly influence on the Bayes factor.

Vector form:

“Completion of squares” trick: \[ \frac{1}{2} z^{T} A z+b^{T} z+c=\frac{1}{2}\left(z+A^{-1} b\right)^{T} A\left(z+A^{-1} b\right)+c-\frac{1}{2} b^{T} A^{-1} b \]

Then use the fact from multivariate Gaussian:

\[ \frac{1}{(2 \pi)^{n / 2}|\Sigma|^{1 / 2}} \int_{\mathbf{R}^{n}} \exp \left(-\frac{1}{2}(x-\mu)^{T} \Sigma^{-1}(x-\mu)\right)=1 \] or equivalently \[ \int_{\mathbf{R}^{n}} \exp \left(-\frac{1}{2}(x-\mu)^{T} \Sigma^{-1}(x-\mu)\right)=(2 \pi)^{n / 2}|\Sigma|^{1 / 2} \]

So we have: \[ \int_{x \in \mathbf{R}^{n}} \exp \left(-\frac{1}{2} x^{T} A x-x^{T} b-c\right) d x=\frac{(2 \pi)^{n / 2}}{|A|^{1 / 2} \exp \left(c-b^{T} A^{-1} b\right)} \]

3.6 Asymptotic issues

The case where \(\log \pi(\boldsymbol{\theta})=O_{p}(1)\), then \(n^{-1} \log \pi(\boldsymbol{\theta}) \rightarrow 0\) as \(n\rightarrow \infty\).

Las of large numbers: 为啥是这个形式 \[ n^{-1} \log \left\{f\left(\boldsymbol{X}_{n} | \boldsymbol{\theta}\right) \pi(\boldsymbol{\theta})\right\} \rightarrow \int \log \left\{f(\boldsymbol{x} | \boldsymbol{\theta}) \pi_{0}(\boldsymbol{\theta})\right\} d G(\boldsymbol{x}) \] 这个形式和大数定律联系在哪里。